Record should matter, but not dominate
Wins are part of any league ranking formula because standings drive the season. But wins alone are a weak summary of team quality when schedule luck is extreme.
Formula
The point of a power rankings formula is not to restate standings with nicer typography. It should explain team strength better than the standings page does.
Wins are part of any league ranking formula because standings drive the season. But wins alone are a weak summary of team quality when schedule luck is extreme.
Raw scoring and head-to-head outcomes together tell you more than standings do by themselves. Teams that consistently score well but sit below their record deserve a closer look.
Two managers can own similar players and produce very different results depending on sit-start decisions. That is why an optimal-lineup view belongs in a useful power rankings formula.
As the season develops, a good rankings formula should care about where a team is heading, not only what already happened in September.